Catalina Foothills Market Trends
John Schneider Realtor® |Tierra Antigua Realty| Tucson, AZ
520 271-4164 | johnschneiders@gmail.com
TheFoothillsToday.com | Catalina-Foothills- Homes.com
The What, Where, When and For How Much in the Catalina Foothills Single Family Home Market
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March - April is primo-prime time for Catalina Foothills home sales. And with more homes for sale, and more homes sitting on the market longer and no more bidding wars, home prices are almost always negotiable. It is finally a normal Foothills market — albeit one operating within the limited boundaries of an area that is both very popular and is essentially built-out.
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+ TheFoothillsToday / April 16, 2026
194 For Sale: $998,500 MLP / 63 MDOM
85 In Contract: $899,000 MLP/ 42 MDOM
61 Sold (30d): $850,000 MSP / 33 MDOM
The Price Gap is Shrinking
From Jan - late March there was nearly a $250,000 price gap between the Median List Price of homes for sale and the Median Sold Price of homes sold. That gap is now down to $148,500, a 15% gap between current list and sold prices.
For Related info, See The Market Snapshot & Bloomberg News article down below. ↓
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+ The Changing Face of the Catalina Foothills Market
With just 6.4% market share in 2016, a million-dollar sale was a rare event. In 2025 it was 35% of Market Share and growing. As such $1M+ sales are fast becoming the Foothills standard and a first-hand demonstration of supply and demand.
The Catalina Foothills is by far the most sought-after area in the Tucson Metro — everyone wants to be here — but with the land essentially built-out, the Foothills remains a well-established and highly desirable area that continues to support premium home price appreciation.
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+ The Latest Sold: Jan 1 - Mar 31
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2025: 143 homes Sold | $867,000 MSP | 17 MDOM
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2026: 158 homes Sold | $834,750 MSP | 32 MDOM
So, what’s the verdict? Sales are up, prices are down, and homes are taking twice as long to sell. It’s a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde market, but with sales up 10% over last year, it is clear that the Foothills has not lost its charm.
+ The Very Latest Sold: Last 20 days / Mar 12 - Mar 31 2026
• 40 Homes Sold / $827,000 MSP / 31 MDOM
• Lowest Sold $327,000 / 86 DOM
• Highest Sold $4,500,000 / 4 DOM
From a $327k starter home to a $4.5M 'I've made it' estate—the Foothills has a home for everyone, whether your budget is 'sensible sedan' or 'private island'.
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+ Easily search all the Foothills homes listed for sale – from all Realtors® and Brokerages
• Just Listed last 7 days
• Search all Foothills Homes by Price Range - with one Click
• Search Foothills Homes by Subdivision - with one Click
• Custom Search
My suggestion, be extra fussy about the things that can't be changed - like the location and the lot - everything else can be improved, fixed, renovated, updated. A well-located lot and good views are key factors to consider when shopping for a Foothills home. They can make or break a deal and often do.
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+ The Market Snapshot breaks down the Catalina Foothills Single Family Home market into 5 price ranges - showing the # of homes For Sale, In Contract, and Sold (last 30 days), along with the resulting Months of Inventory. (MOI) is a key metric for gauging market balance.
5 – 6 MOI = Balanced Mkt // < 5 MOI = leans to Seller’s Mkt // > 6 MOI = leans to Buyer’s Mkt
As of Apr 16, 2026
In January I noted that the Foothills Mkt Snapshot was showing signs of shifting from a strong Seller’s Market to what looked like a Buyer's Market in the making. I suggested the following weeks or months would clarify whether it was a long-term trend or a temporary holiday backlog.
Case closed, it is crystal clear that the backlog was a short term event and the Foothills Market is still largely a sellers market - with only $2,000,000 & UP edging into balanced market territory.
| List Price | # For Sale | # In Contract | # Sold | MOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1 - $500,000 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2+ |
| $5001 - $1,000,000 | 90 | 48 | 32 | -3 |
| $1,000,001 - $1,500,000 | 43 | 17 | 14 | 3 |
| $1,500,001 - $2,000,000 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 4+ |
| $2,000,000 & UP | 34 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Total Market | 195 | 85 | 61 | 3+ |
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+ News I Info
Wikipedia - Catalina Foothills
The Old Foothills - Catalina Foothills Association
Catalina Foothills School District in the News
Yahoo!life article: The Catalina Foothills
Bloomberg News: Jan 21, 2026
US Pending-Home Sales Plunge by Most Since Start of Pandemic (1)
Back in January, Bloomberg warned that pending home sales were taking their biggest hit since the pandemic. Looking at our local numbers now, that headline wasn't just noise—it was a forecast of the high-end slowdown we’re now seeing here in the Foothills.
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The Catalina Foothills is an established, peaceful area, an area of character and charm, where the lush beauty of the Sonoran desert and the majesty of the Catalina Mountains frame your daily existence. And together with the native Southwestern people and culture, and the influence of the University of Arizona, Foothills residents, who come from all across the U.S. and many other countries, contribute to make this desert community a lively and cosmopolitan place.
See About the Catalina Foothills & Wikipedia for the history and development of the Catalina Foothills.
If you are interested in The Old Foothills, Catalina Foothills Estates 1 – 9, visit the Catalina Foothills Association – an essential resource for residents and newcomers alike.
John Schneider /Realtor®
Tierra Antigua Realty
TheFoothillsToday.com
Catalina-Foothills-Homes.com
johnschneiders@gmail.com
520 271-4164