Catalina Foothills Market Trends
John Schneider Realtor® |Tierra Antigua Realty | Tucson, Arizona
520 271-4164 | johnschneiders@gmail.com | TheFoothillsToday.com | Catalina-Foothills- Homes.com
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No Spin. Just the Foothills Market, decoded
We are now in late Feb 2026, prime time for Catalina Foothills home sales. And with more homes sitting on the market longer and no more bidding wars, home prices are almost always negotiable. It is finally a normal Foothills market — albeit one operating within the limited boundaries of an area that is both very popular and is essentially built-out.
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+ TheFoothillsToday /As of Feb 24, 2026
192 For Sale: $1,050,000 MLP / 50 MDOM
77 in contract: $850,000 MLP / 47 MDOM
54 Sold (30d): $817,250 MSP / 57 MDOM
The Takeaway: The price gap between homes for sale and homes sold is back up to $232,750, from $161,500 just 2 weeks ago and almost back up to where it was in early January at $245,000 - An awfully big gap between what sellers are asking and what they're getting.
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On the other hand, thru thick and thin Foothills Median Sold Prices have risen every year since 2019 – some years a little, some years a lot – along the way accumulating a 67+% median price increase since 2019, despite a 33% decline in sales volume from 2021–2025.
+Yearly MSP • #Sold • MDOM / Click for Chart
2025 • $830,000 • 643 • 32
2024 • $810,000 • 640 • 19
2023 • $779,250 • 596 • 12
2022 • $770,000 • 716 • 7
2021 • $695,000 • 962 • 6
2020 • $567,050 • 930 • 15
2019 • $495,000 • 876 • 32
The Catalina Foothills is by far the most desirable area in the Tucson Metro — everyone wants to be here — but with the Foothills essentially built-out, Mother Nature has officially closed the books on new development. ___________________________________________________________________
+ Jan 1 - Feb 28 Sales Snapshot:
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2025: 89 homes Sold | $825,500 MSP | 21 MDOM
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2026: 102 homes Sold |$834,750 MSP | 39 MDOM
So far this year home sales are up 14% over last year l MSP is up 1.1% l MDOM is up-up 85%
The MDOM numbers show that buyers are taking their time to shop and compare options—but once they decide, they are closing in higher numbers and spending a bit more than last year.
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+ The Market Snapshot breaks down the Catalina Foothills Single Family Home market into 5 price ranges - showing the # of homes For Sale, In Contract, and Sold (last 30 days), along with the resulting Months of Inventory. (MOI) is a key metric for gauging market balance.
5 – 6 MOI = Balanced Mkt // < 5 MOI = leans to Seller’s Mkt // > 6 MOI = leans to Buyer’s Mkt
As of Feb 19, 2026
In early January, I noted that the Catalina Foothills market was shifting from a strong Seller’s Market toward what looked to be a Buyer's Market in the making. I suggested the following weeks would clarify whether it was a long-term trend or a temporary holiday backlog. As of today’s updated Mkt Snapshot, the answer is: the backlog was indeed temporary for homes priced under $1.5M. However, for homes priced above $1.5M, the narrative remains unchanged—it is still very much a Buyer’s Market at >$1.5
| List Price | # For Sale | # in Contract | # Sold | Moi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1 - $500,000 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| $500,001 - $1,000,000 | 82 | 48 | 28 | 3 |
| $1,000,001 - $1,500,000 | 38 | 15 | 14 | -3 |
| $1,500,001 - $2,000,000 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| $2,000,000 - UP | 39 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| Total Market | 190 | 78 | 56 | 3+ |
| Q4 | #Sold | Median Sold Price | MDOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 161 | $760,000 | 22 |
| 2025 | 154 | $852,500 | 32 |
| +/- % | - 4.3% | + 12% | +45% |